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August 31 2002
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Technology Can Help Doctors

 

By Susan Rodsjo

If a Nobel Prize were given for healthcare informatics and health system reform, fans of Lawrence Weed, M.D., believe this provocative one-man think tank would be writing his acceptance speech on a plane headed for Stockholm. Known as the father of the problem-oriented medical record, which was adopted throughout the country in the 1970s, Weed has spent the last 50 years contemplating the current state of chaos in medicine and formulating a vision for reform.

The sweeping changes he proposes are based on the notion that no physician, regardless of intelligence, can remember every possible reason for a given symptom and adequately process diagnostic information in his or her head. Weed criticizes medical schools for perpetuating a system that relies on the unaided mind.

"He has called medical education an effort at stuffing information into the brains of young people," says John Eisenberg, M.D., director of the Agency for Health Care Research and Quality, which is charged with reducing medical errors. "Instead, we need to teach them how to find the information and use it. It's a simple and elegant concept," says this longtime supporter of Weed.

A Logical Foundation

As Weed illustrates, "Patients have no obligation to develop problems that fit with what you learned 10 years ago and within the 85 percent you got correct when you passed your exam. This memory-based system is fundamentally flawed." His criticisms are solidly based on more than 40 years' experience working at medical schools such as Columbia, Johns Hopkins, Case Western Reserve, Yale and the University of Vermont.

Weed's vision led him to develop the idea for "problem-knowledge couplers," decision support software that couples patients' symptoms with diagnoses and management options culled from medical literature. For example, if a patient presents with chest pain, the computer asks a series of relevant questions, then requests pertinent physical findings and lab results. Each answer leads the computer to choose one of 80 causes of chest pain, process the information and organize it into a list of possible diagnoses. It also points out the particular characteristics relative to what the patient is experiencing and recommends various treatments.

Weed says that such tools, which virtually eliminate the need to rely on physicians' unaided minds, are the foundation for the sweeping reforms he proposes. His concept culminated in the formation of PKC Corp., a small software company in Burlington, Vt., that has developed more than 75 problem-knowledge couplers.

Although PKC, started in 1982, may not be well-known today, that could change considering its current client base. The U.S. Department of Defense and the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs are already using problem-knowledge couplers, and both plan to incorporate them into the Government Computer-Based Patient Record (G-CPR) under development. Informatics experts have speculated that this multibillion-dollar information system could serve as a model for other healthcare organizations.

A higher purpose

Whereas most entrepreneurs start businesses with profit as the No. 1 goal, Weed's writings from the last 30 years leave the impression that he holds more idealistic goals. His product is just one step in realizing his vision.

In the 1970s, Weed developed the first computerized problem-oriented medical record as principal investigator for a National Center for Health Services Research and Development-funded project at the University of Vermont, Burlington, called the Problem-Oriented Medical Information System (PROMIS). At the time, computers were so new to medicine that he described them in his writings as "television-like, touch-sensitive screens." He could have run with this product, but he realized it wouldn't change the practice of medicine, but rather, only automate it. "There's no point in automating a record until you can control the inputs. Otherwise you're automating chaos," says Weed.

The long haul

Asked why he continues to work full time at age 76, Weed explains that changing a paradigm is a long-term project. "You can't just quit when you reach retirement age, although many days I wonder if I have rocks in my head."

Weed is often referred to as a visionary genius. "He's brilliant," says Bob Boysen, vice president of information systems for Sisters of Charity, Leavenworth, Kan. Boysen also calls Weed a rebel: "He has challenged the medical profession's sacred oaths and egos, and he's had the strength of character to withstand the criticisms. It's unfortunate he may not receive the recognition he deserves during his lifetime."

To truly understand Weed's vision requires time spent reading his ample writings. In fact, Weed expressed concern that a short article will provide only a fragmented understanding of his ideas culled from 50 years of work.

"Until people take the time to fully understand the vision and start implementing it, this chaos can go on indefinitely. You can't go drifting through a few notes of a symphony and get a sense of the composer's body of work," he says.

In the following text, Weed discusses his vision and the events that led him to formulate his ideas. If your curiosity is piqued, you may wish to peruse his insightful, albeit lengthy, works (see sidebar below).

S.R.: In the 1970s, you led the development of a computerized medical record (PROMIS). How did you come to the realization that automation wouldn't fix medicine's problems?

L.W.: We had a computerized ward at the University of Vermont in the '70s with a better automated record than most people have now. We had 55,000 displays of information with a branch to all the symptoms of each diagnosis. I could sit in my office and say, "Bring up problem such and such with all the plans and progress notes." Once I could do that, I always found mistakes. That's when I realized if you solve the mind's memory problem with a computer, you uncover a processing limitation with the human mind that's worse than the memory limitation.

The human mind can't do it alone. We've got to build tools that will tell physicians what to ask, then tell them what it means. If you're going into astronomy, you better have a telescope. You might see better than I do, but compared with the telescope, we're both blind. Until the profession accepts that computers process knowledge better than the unaided mind, we're going to have a mess.

S.R.: You have been highly critical of medical schools. Why?

L.W.: As Robyn Dawes has said, "States license psychologists, physicians and psychiatrists to make (lucrative) global judgments. People have greatly misplaced confidence in their global judgments." In other words, if you sleep through lectures for 4 years but get at least 75 percent on your exams, we'll give you an "MDity" and a license to go out and say, "In my opinion. . . ." And you can make a very good living doing it because the public has no way of knowing.

Medical schools should never again examine students on what they know. That is a bottomless pit. Examine them on how well they behave with the right tools, whether they use the tools available to them. Schools do just the opposite. By examining what you know, they inculcate the idea that it's all right for you to use the limited knowledge you have, throw it at individuals and then make mistakes. Universities are the root of the problem.

People think I don't appreciate the greatness of medicine. Physicians are transplanting hearts, putting in new hips and new knees. It's incredible what they're doing! But just because they developed the Concorde and you can get from New York to Paris in 2 hours doesn't justify letting a few planes crash in Kansas. Most of the greatness in medicine has to do with hands-on skill. I'm never critical of doctors. I'm critical of the university system that produces them.

S.R.: Tell me about your ideas for creating a patient-centered medical system.

L.W.: You have to understand that a doctor doesn't take care of patients. A system takes care of patients. If you want to travel, you don't say, "I need a travel person to take care of me." From age 5 on you know there's a system. I know enough to get myself to the airport, then I turn over responsibility to the pilot, the radar guy, the air traffic controller. I assume they've been licensed to do their part well. That's the way medicine should be.

I might call a travel agent for some help, but I know the possibilities and make the choices. Right now the public is not given the means to make choices in terms of their health. Patients should all have their own records. They should know how to discover hypertension and other problems long before they become serious.

We've been led to believe that doctors went to medical school so they'll know what to ask. And since they have all the information and all the authority, they'll tell the patient, "You ought to have a prostatectomy." But it's the patient who undergoes the surgery -- who may become incontinent or impotent -- not the doctor. Doctors had better line up all the facts and let the patients make their own choices.

S.R.: Would it be beneficial for patients to have direct access to decision support software?

L.W.: Yes. We're building knowledge couplers for the Web. The questions patients can't answer themselves will be there but will be marked with a symbol. For example, "Do you have a systolic murmur in your heart?"

S.R.: You have criticized medicine for conducting outcomes studies. Why?

L.W.: Medicine has been doing outcomes studies for years. When I ask why, they say, "Don't you think it's important to know there's four times as much prostate surgery in Salt Lake City as in Denver?" What good is that? I don't know whether to move to Salt Lake City so they won't miss my prostate cancer or whether I should move to Denver so I won't have unnecessary surgery.

Until doctors control inputs, we shouldn't spend money on outcomes studies. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) should release a new drug and say, "This drug will only be released to those who use [decision support software], and the computer will tell you the conditions under which the drug can be used. And since you're controlling inputs with these tools, we'll know after 10,000 cases whether we should withdraw our approval because of adverse effects." Right now the FDA releases a drug and doesn't know what physicians are doing once they get their hands on it. The whole system has to be brought under control.

S.R.: Recently there's been much talk about mistakes in medicine. What can be done?

L.W.: There will always be errors if you allow people to practice medicine based on what they remember and process in their heads. Errors will continue to happen until we control the inputs and get a corrective feedback loop. Even then there might still be errors, but we will notice them if we study our data carefully. Every system without feedback loops runs wild, and medicine has been running wild.

S.R.: Do you feel physicians resist the changes you propose?

L.W.: I can't judge what the profession thinks, because I've already come to the conclusion that if we use these tools, our picture of the profession will change.
If you switch from trains to airplanes, you wouldn't say, "Well, will the people who own Pennsylvania Railroad accept it?" That's not the question. Naturally, the people who own the railroad will be threatened by the airplane. It's a very complex sociological problem.

So now the tools are getting out. The biggest problem is that doctors control the system. They're not going to give up authority easily to these new tools.

S.R.: You propose huge changes to the practice of medicine. What do you predict might bring about these changes?

L.W.: There are four parts to a total system: tools, philosophy, disciplined users and leadership. Weed and PKC Corp. provide the philosophy and the tools. What's going to bring about the proper change is a strong leader who reads my materials and says, "I will do it." We have a good architect. Now what that architect needs is a good contractor. And that contractor needs some good carpenters.

More about Lawrence Weed

  • President and founder, PKC Corp., Burlington, Vt.
  • Professor Emeritus of Medicine, College of Medicine, University of Vermont, Burlington
  • Medical degree from Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, 1947
  • Director of PROMIS Laboratory at the University of Vermont, 1969-1981
  • Founding fellow of the American College of Medical Informatics



Dr. Mercola Dr. Mercola's Comments:

Dr. Weed provides us with a lofty vision of medicine's future and I could not agree wholeheartedly. Physicians need expert systems to assist them in remembering and utilizing the tremendous amount of information available today.

Even with the plethora of information available in our modern world, when one understands the basics of health with respect to eating, exercise, good water and significant tools to address emotional stressors, most of the diseases we have just disappear by the wayside.

If you like Dr. Weed's article, you might want to review his article in the British Medical Journal:

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