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The government reported that exploding health costs and the new
Medicare law have contributed to the deterioration of Medicare’s
financial condition. Experts have projected that Medicare will run
out of money before the end of the next decade.
By contrast, the financial stability for Social Security looks
more manageable than those of Medicare.
Highlights of the Medicare crisis:
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Under the current law, Medicare’s hospital insurance
trust fund, which covers costs for inpatient care, will be exhausted
in 2019, which is seven years earlier than projected last year.
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Medicare will grow at a much quicker rate than the economy
as a whole, increasing from 2.6 percent of the gross domestic
product last year to 3.7 percent in 2010, 7.7 percent in 2035
and nearly 14 percent at the end of the 75-year period often
used for long-term projections.
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Medicare costs are projected to exceed those for Social Security
in 2024. By 2078, Medicare expenditure levels would represent
nearly twice the cost of Social Security.
Senator John Kerry blamed George Bush’s policies for bringing
Medicare closer to bankruptcy. On the other hand, Bush officials
said Medicare would be in far worse financial standings if the drug
legislation passed, which they say would have cost twice as much
as the new law.
Trustees revealed that the drug benefit costs would start at $85
billion a year in 2006 and then would grow about 9.6 percent a year,
to $161.8 billion in 2013. Separate reports showed that the Social
Security trust fund would be depleted in 2042, with tax income covering
73 percent of benefit costs.
New
York Times March 24, 2004
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