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For the first time in almost a decade,
federal health economists reported January 8, health expenditures
outpaced the growth of the economy.
Spending rose 6.9% from 1999 to 2000,
to $1.3 trillion, while the nation's gross domestic product
(GDP) grew 6.5%. This was the third year of accelerating growth
in health spending.
With the economy in a downturn, health
costs are likely to continue to grow faster than the GDP at
least for the next few years.
The shift may herald the end of several
years of relatively free-wheeling spending, when employers
offered less restrictive, more costly insurance plans, and
hospitals and physicians refused to accept onerous managed
care discounts, said the economists.
Instead, in 2001, insurers will likely
charge higher premiums and employers will ask consumers to
pay a higher share of their health costs.
From 1999 to 2000, there was a 1.2% increase
in the rise in health care spending. Spending grew 5.7% in
1999, but by 6.9% in 2000. While this may sound paltry, this
is the largest positive change in the growth rate since 1993.
Most of the increase in private and public
spending for 2000 -- 24% of the dollar
share -- was for hospitals. Hospital costs grew
5.1% in 2000 to $412 billion.
The economists said that spending has grown partly because
facilities, merged together into ever-larger bargaining units,
are extracting higher payments from insurers, particularly
from managed care. Hospital labor costs have also increased.
Prescription drug spending
accounted for 9.4% of the increase. But the cost of drugs
rose by 17.3% in 2000, the sixth
consecutive year of double-digit growth, according to the
authors. Consumers are being hit especially hard, paying more
out-of-pocket with each passing year. The economists said
that higher spending on outpatient drugs is being fueled by
direct-to-consumer advertising, more new drugs on the market
and increased coverage of pharmaceuticals by insurers.
Health Affairs
January/February 2002
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